Oregon Man Claims To Have Predicted Earthquakes

So was he right or is this just a PR stunt (considering that many question the guy's validity)?

An Oregon man said Thursday that his firm warned the Indian government of an impending earthquake that could cause more destruction across Asia. An Indian government minister called the warning "hogwash," and blamed him for the scare that prompted tens of thousands of people to flee their homes for higher ground.
[...]
Geologists in Oregon said they had not heard of Park or of his research and joined the Indian official in questioning its validity.

"I've never had any contact with this group," University of Oregon geology professor Ray Weldon said. "I assume if it was legitimate I would have heard of it."

Geologist Lou Clark, spokeswoman for the Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industry, said that she hears periodically from earthquake enthusiasts who claim to be able to predict impending disasters.

"One of the problems is that there are earthquakes all over the earth every day," she said, making it easy for someone to 'predict' a quake in a large area, especially in regions of the world, such as Indonesia, that lie near the boundary between two tectonic plates.

"The problem is because quakes are concentrated in a few areas it is very difficult to say that something is not chance unless you are completely specific about the quake," she said.

She's exactly right. A bunch of small quakes in the same area doesn't mean a big one's coming. Using that logic, Bend would have been blown away after we had all those micro quakes a while back.

All sounds a bit fishy to me.

Posted by Jake on 12/30/04 @ 12:53 PM
Posted in Interesting | 2 Comments | Permalink

2 Comments

Mr. Mike Lee said on 12/13/05 @ 01:59 PM:
I accurately predicted the 6.8 mag earthquake in Washington in Feb. 28, 2001 I'm the teacher from Hawaii seen on the T.V program "Sightings".

Walawala has a 96% chance of being hit by a 7.1 mag earthquake on March 11,12,13,14,22,23,24
2006 especial * on 13 and 25th of March.

Japan/Hokkaido major 8.2 on Sep. 8th thru 18th special * on Sep. 13 2006.

Santa Barbra California in August 21-18
2006 mag 7.0.

I also predicted the Aug 17, 1999
quake wrtten up in the Nov 6, 1999 Issue, page 26 Aktuel magazine in Turkey by Handan Akdemir also USA local affiliates of CBS, NBC, and Fox News.

I have been in retirement since 2002 and I no longer have a website with my predictions. However a California University is using my method to try to predict earthquakes world wide
with emphasis on the earthquake in Pakistan.

The Philippines and Iran in Abiz, Anatolian fault zone also have a high probability for earthquakes in 2006. And another possible Tsunami in September 2006 hiting Hawaii and the Pacific NorhtWest Voncouver Is.

Actuel magazine wanted to know what I was predicting for Turkey this year. Then I saw the
highest probability of a quake equal to the 1936
Oregon State quake I thought it prudent to let you
know because I do not blog any more however
many of my former students live in your great state so I have come out of retirement to email
you this message.

You probably never heard of me and thats good to.

Be safe in 2006.

Michael Kumukauoha Lee 12/13/05

abe said on 03/31/06 @ 03:36 PM:
Well, Mr. Lee today is March 31st, 2006.
There's been no earthquakes reported in Walawala anywhere near 7.1 magnitude.
What are your comments about this?

No offense but, if you mention all of the most well known earthquake areas in your prediction there's quite a chance that you'll hit one of them for the year 2006. Now, does that makes your prediction accurate?

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